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U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 140648 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0148 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Similar to D1/Tuesday, warm and dry conditions will persist from the Southeast into central TX -- along the southern periphery of expansive surface ridging over the eastern half of the CONUS. Despite increasingly dry fuels over many areas, light surface winds should once again limit the risk of large fires. Over parts of the southern/central High Plains, southerly surface winds will strengthen to around 15-25 mph (with higher gusts) in response to a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains. However, current indications are that marginal RH reductions and mostly unreceptive fuels will limit fire-weather concerns where the strongest winds are expected. ..Weinman.. 10/14/2025
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 132156 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z ...Days 3-5/Wednesday-Friday... An upper-level trough across the West on Day 3/Wednesday will translate northeastward into the central/northern Plains by the end of the week. Subsequent lee cyclone development along the High Plains in WY/CO should support a swath of enhanced southerly flow from TX into the central Plains on days 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday. Drier fuels remain in place across central TX, but only a diffuse overlap of higher southerly winds and sufficiently low relative humidity is expected, limiting confidence for inclusion of critical probabilities. Lighter east/northeast winds through midweek across the Deep South will also mitigate fire weather concerns despite dry and warm conditions. Dry, post frontal northwest winds across the northeastern U.S. is expected across portions of the Mid-Atlantic on Day 5/Thursday although recent rainfall should aid in mitigating widespread concerns. ...Days 6-8/Saturday-Monday... Forecast guidance shows an amplified, progressive wave pattern across CONUS for the weekend into early next week. A sweeping cold front is likely to push through the eastern U.S. over the weekend into early next week, bringing needed rainfall to the Southeast. The frontal passage through TX on Saturday could yield a broader fire weather concern where minimal rainfall expectations and receptive fuels remain, but uncertainty in timing of front precludes introduction of critical probabilities. ..Williams.. 10/13/2025
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