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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140647

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0147 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Along the southern periphery of expansive low-level ridging
   encompassing the eastern half of the CONUS, warm and dry conditions
   will continue from the Southeast into parts of central TX -- where
   fuels are becoming increasingly dry. Despite the warm/dry conditions
   amid receptive fuels, generally light northeasterly to easterly
   surface winds (around 10 mph) will limit the wildfire-spread threat.

   ..Weinman.. 10/14/2025
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 140648

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0148 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025

   Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Similar to D1/Tuesday, warm and dry conditions will persist from the
   Southeast into central TX -- along the southern periphery of
   expansive surface ridging over the eastern half of the CONUS.
   Despite increasingly dry fuels over many areas, light surface winds
   should once again limit the risk of large fires. 

   Over parts of the southern/central High Plains, southerly surface
   winds will strengthen to around 15-25 mph (with higher gusts) in
   response to a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains.
   However, current indications are that marginal RH reductions and
   mostly unreceptive fuels will limit fire-weather concerns where the
   strongest winds are expected.

   ..Weinman.. 10/14/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 132156

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0456 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

   Valid 151200Z - 211200Z

   ...Days 3-5/Wednesday-Friday...
   An upper-level trough across the West on Day 3/Wednesday will
   translate northeastward into the central/northern Plains by the end
   of the week. Subsequent lee cyclone development along the High 
   Plains in WY/CO should support a swath of enhanced southerly flow
   from TX into the central Plains on days 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday.
   Drier fuels remain in place across central TX, but only a diffuse
   overlap of higher southerly winds and sufficiently low relative
   humidity is expected, limiting confidence for inclusion of critical
   probabilities. Lighter east/northeast winds through midweek across
   the Deep South will also mitigate fire weather concerns despite dry
   and warm conditions. Dry, post frontal northwest winds across the
   northeastern U.S. is expected across portions of the Mid-Atlantic on
   Day 5/Thursday although recent rainfall should aid in mitigating
   widespread concerns.

   ...Days 6-8/Saturday-Monday...
   Forecast guidance shows an amplified, progressive wave pattern
   across CONUS for the weekend into early next week. A sweeping cold
   front is likely to push through the eastern U.S. over the weekend
   into early next week, bringing needed rainfall to the Southeast. The
   frontal passage through TX on Saturday could yield a broader fire
   weather concern where minimal rainfall expectations and receptive
   fuels remain, but uncertainty in timing of front precludes
   introduction of critical probabilities.

   ..Williams.. 10/13/2025
      




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