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Mississippi Smokey Air Forecast & Health Risks Map Animation
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Mississippi Smokey Air Forecast
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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 130640

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0140 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

   Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Preceding a deep mid/upper-level low over the West Coast, strong
   deep-layer south-southwesterly flow will overspread a dry air mass
   over the Great Basin. While this will yield dry and windy conditions
   during the afternoon, fuels are generally unsupportive of large-fire
   potential at this time.

   Farther east, a light offshore-flow regime will continue to favor
   warm and dry conditions across the Southeast -- where fuels are
   becoming increasingly dry. However, light northerly winds should
   generally mitigate the fire-weather threat.

   ..Weinman.. 10/13/2025
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 130640

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0140 AM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   To the east of a midlevel anticyclone centered on east TX, warm and
   dry conditions will continue across the Southeast amid a persistent
   offshore-flow regime. Despite increasingly dry fuels in some areas,
   fairly light northerly surface winds (around 10 mph) will generally
   limit the fire risk.

   ..Weinman.. 10/13/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 122124

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0424 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

   Valid 141200Z - 201200Z

   Deep upper-level troughing will be over much of the West through Day
   5/Thursday, with the upper low likely tracking from the central
   California coast northeast to the northern High Plains. Cyclogenesis
   will develop on the central High Plains during mid-week, and a cold
   front will move east/south across the Plains late in the week into
   the weekend. Upper-level troughing will deepen over the eastern
   Great Lakes and Northeast mid to late week, with strong
   north-northwesterly flow developing on the backside of the trough. A
   cold front will push south/east through the eastern/southern US Day
   3/Tuesday - Day 4/Wednesday, with areas of dry/breezy post-frontal
   conditions following. 

   ...Central/southern High Plains...
   Increasing south-southwesterly surface winds amid downslope flow and
   lee troughing is expected on Day 4/Wednesday along/east of the Front
   Range in Colorado. Forecast guidance indicates the potential for
   isolated showers/thunderstorms on portions of the central High
   Plains leaving a relatively narrow corridor where elevated fire
   weather conditions may develop on Day 4/Wednesday. There is a low
   chance of drier return flow across portions of central/west Texas on
   Day 3/Tuesday - Day 4/Wednesday that could yield elevated fire
   weather conditions. The potential for elevated fire weather
   conditions shifts southward on Day 5/Thursday and again on Day
   6/Friday onto the southern High Plains. However, given
   recent/forecast rainfall and lack of overlap of forecast
   elevated/critical winds/RH, probabilities remain too low for
   inclusion.

   ...Appalachians into Lower Mississippi Valley...
   Breezy north-northeast winds may overlap RH approaching elevated
   criteria and receptive fuels in portions of the Lower Mississippi
   Valley Day 3/Tuesday - Day 4/Wednesday. This overlap and potential
   elevated fire weather conditions may extend into the
   southern/central Appalachians as well. Dry/breezy conditions are
   likely in portions of Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Day 5/Thursday and
   may continue into Day 6/Friday. While much of the Northeast has had
   recent rainfall, some drier pockets remain, but there is low
   confidence in elevated/critical winds/RH coinciding with these drier
   pockets at this time.

   ..Nauslar.. 10/12/2025
      




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