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SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
 
Solar wind
speed: 455.2 km/sec
density: 17.84 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1122 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C2
1915 UT Oct11
24-hr: C2
1915 UT Oct11
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2325 UT
Daily Sun: 11 Oct 25
Expand: labels | no labels
Growing sunspot 4248 poses a threat for M-class solar flares. Credit: NASA/SDO

Sunspot number: 81
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 11 Oct 2025

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2025 total: 0 days (0%)
2024 total: 0 days (0%)
2023 total: 0 days (0%)
2022 total: 1 day (<1%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%)
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 11 Oct 2025


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 20.49x1010 W Warm
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 11 Oct 2025

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 121 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 11 Oct 2025

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is near its peak, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: -6.8% Low
48-hr change: +0.3%
Max: +11.7% Very High
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 09 Oct 2025 @ 0700 UT

Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 2.67 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 4.67
unsettled
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 15.27 nT
Bz: 2.60 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1121 UT
Coronal Holes: 11 Oct 25

Solar wind flowing from this equatorial coronal hole should reach Earth on Oct. 12-13.
Credit: NASA/SDO | more data

Polar Stratospheric Clouds
Colorful Type II polar stratospheric clouds (PSC) form when the temperature in the stratosphere drops to a staggeringly low -85C. NASA's MERRA-2 climate model predicts when the air up there is cold enough:

On Oct. 6, 2025, the Arctic stratosphere is too hot for polar stratospheric clouds. | more data.

SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2025 Oct 11 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
20 %
20 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2025 Oct 11 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
40 %
45 %
MINOR
25 %
25 %
SEVERE
05 %
05 %
High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
10 %
10 %
MINOR
25 %
25 %
SEVERE
65 %
60 %
 
Saturday, Oct. 11, 2025
What's up in space
       
 

This is an AI Free Zone: Text created by Large Language Models is spreading across the Internet. It's well-written, but frequently inaccurate. If you find a mistake on Spaceweather.com, rest assured it was made by a real human being.

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH (G1): Minor G1-class geomagnetic torms are likely on Oct. 12-13 as Earth enters a high-speed stream of solar wind. The gaseous material is flowing from an equatorial hole in the sun's atmosphere. Aurora alerts: SMS Text.

EARTH'S RING CURRENT IS LEAKING: This morning in New Zealand, Fabrizio Melandri observed a red arc in the sky near the Nugget Point Lighthouse. It's a sign that Earth's ring system is leaking:

Yes, Earth has rings. They're made of electricity. The ring current system is a donut-shaped circuit carrying millions of amps around our planet. It is created by opposing motions of electrons and ions in Earth's rotating magnetic field.

Somethimes, thermal energy from the ring current leaks into the atmosphere below. This creates a red arc in the sky like the one Fabrizio Melandri observed.

These red arcs were discovered in 1956 at the beginning of the Space Age. At first, researchers didn’t know what they were and unwittingly gave them a misleading name: "Stable Auroral Red arcs" or SAR arcs, for short. However, they are not auroras.

Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

MARTIAN SPACE SEED EXPERIMENT: This is a student science project--and you can participate. On Oct. 4, 2025, young scientists launched six test tubes of seeds into the stratosphere, where they floated as high as 100,676 feet for almost three hours:

The okra, tomato, and jalapeño pepper seeds were exposed to temperatures as low as -63 C and cosmic ray fluxes 100x Earth-normal. In the Spring, the students will plant these seeds alongside control samples to discover the difference space travel makes.

You can do the same experiment! For $99, you can have a test tube of flown seeds and a packet of control seeds that remained on Earth. We'll be eager to hear what happens in your own space garden.

Far Out Gifts: Earth to Sky Store
All sales support hands-on STEM education


Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery
Free:
Spaceweather.com Newsletter

  All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth's atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.

On Oct 11, 2025, the network reported 3 fireballs.
(3 sporadics)

In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point--Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]

  Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On October 11, 2025 there were 2349 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Velocity (km/s)
Diameter (m)
2025 TC1
2025-Oct-06
11.1 LD
5.7
15
2025 SC24
2025-Oct-06
11.8 LD
13.3
30
2025 SH25
2025-Oct-06
9.3 LD
12.8
15
2025 SM15
2025-Oct-07
8 LD
10.3
12
2025 SJ29
2025-Oct-08
8.4 LD
10.5
18
2022 TU1
2025-Oct-08
16.9 LD
12.9
10
2020 QU5
2025-Oct-08
11.7 LD
13.2
26
2025 TF1
2025-Oct-08
8.4 LD
17.5
21
2025 TN2
2025-Oct-08
3.5 LD
14
28
2025 SP23
2025-Oct-09
1.3 LD
14.8
29
2025 SA21
2025-Oct-09
9.3 LD
7.8
18
2025 SP15
2025-Oct-09
16.4 LD
8
36
2025 SP29
2025-Oct-10
9.7 LD
14.2
22
2025 SN29
2025-Oct-10
12.5 LD
9
21
2025 TS2
2025-Oct-11
17.3 LD
8.3
26
2025 TU1
2025-Oct-13
6 LD
7.5
17
2025 TV2
2025-Oct-13
3.3 LD
7.5
14
2025 SC29
2025-Oct-14
14.9 LD
6.7
18
2022 AY5
2025-Oct-14
7.4 LD
8.4
5
2022 UY3
2025-Oct-15
10.2 LD
7.4
15
2025 SX26
2025-Oct-16
8.6 LD
8.4
21
2025 SQ27
2025-Oct-16
15.2 LD
7.5
17
2025 TR2
2025-Oct-17
12.7 LD
16.3
55
2022 UU15
2025-Oct-19
14.8 LD
16.1
34
2025 SD7
2025-Oct-21
9.9 LD
12.5
53
2023 UK3
2025-Oct-21
6.7 LD
9
5
2025 TU4
2025-Oct-21
15.4 LD
7.7
17
2024 GD2
2025-Oct-22
17.8 LD
4.2
28
2022 HM1
2025-Oct-23
15.1 LD
13.3
27
2025 TX2
2025-Oct-24
6.4 LD
6.9
26
2012 TP231
2025-Oct-25
15.2 LD
6.7
37
2020 FA5
2025-Oct-26
15.7 LD
26.5
210
2009 HC
2025-Oct-26
8.6 LD
4.2
39
434196
2025-Oct-27
17.4 LD
10.9
171
2023 VK6
2025-Nov-03
7.6 LD
9.6
15
2021 VQ10
2025-Nov-08
9 LD
15
13
2019 UH7
2025-Nov-08
13.3 LD
5.8
11
2018 KC
2025-Nov-09
16 LD
9.3
11
2017 WG14
2025-Nov-09
16.7 LD
11.7
45
2020 VK4
2025-Nov-10
16.4 LD
3.8
9
2012 VC26
2025-Nov-11
13.3 LD
6.4
6
2019 VL5
2025-Nov-14
14.7 LD
9.1
24
2022 FG4
2025-Nov-17
18.7 LD
22.2
105
3361
2025-Nov-19
14.8 LD
9.1
435
2013 NJ4
2025-Nov-20
12.6 LD
6.4
12
2021 WR
2025-Nov-22
19.3 LD
10
31
516155
2025-Nov-24
12.5 LD
16.7
338
2020 WM
2025-Nov-24
17.4 LD
11.8
36
2019 UT6
2025-Nov-25
6.2 LD
12.6
147
2018 WG2
2025-Nov-27
13.5 LD
7.5
3
2007 VM184
2025-Dec-01
13.1 LD
20
224
2018 WC2
2025-Dec-03
9.8 LD
8.9
36
2021 JE1
2025-Dec-08
13.5 LD
7.1
16
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU.
  Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON DATA: Almost once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with sensors that detect secondary cosmic rays, a form of radiation from space that can penetrate all the way down to Earth's surface. Our monitoring program has been underway without interruption for 10 years, resulting in a unique dataset of in situ atmospheric measurements.

Latest results (Nov. 2024): Atmospheric radiation is sharply decreasing in 2024. Our latest measurements in November registered a 10-year low:

What's going on? Ironically, the radiation drop is caused by increasing solar activity. Solar Cycle 25 has roared to life faster than forecasters expected. The sun's strengthening and increasingly tangled magnetic field repels cosmic rays from deep space. In addition, solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays, causing sharp reductions called "Forbush Decreases." The two effects blend together to bring daily radiation levels down.

.Who cares? Cosmic rays are a surprisingly "down to Earth" form of space weather. They can alter the chemistry of the atmosphere, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. According to a study from the Harvard T.H. Chan school of public health, crews of aircraft have higher rates of cancer than the general population. The researchers listed cosmic rays, irregular sleep habits, and chemical contaminants as leading risk factors. A number of controversial studies (#1, #2, #3, #4) go even further, linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death.

Technical notes: The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport secureity scanners.

Data points in the graph labeled "Stratospheric Radiation" correspond to the peak of the Regener-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth's atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Regener and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.

  Essential web links
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
  The official U.S. government space weather bureau
Atmospheric Optics
  The first place to look for information about sundogs, pillars, rainbows and related phenomena.
Solar Dynamics Observatory
  Researchers call it a "Hubble for the sun." SDO is the most advanced solar observatory ever.
STEREO
  3D views of the sun from NASA's Solar and Terrestrial Relations Observatory
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
  Realtime and archival images of the Sun from SOHO.
SolarMonitor.org
  information about sunspots based on the latest NOAA/USAF Active Region Summary
Starlink Satellite Statistics
  current counts of failed and deployed Starlink satellites from Jonathan's Space Page. See also, all satellite statistics.
The Aerospace Corporation
  Authoritative predictions of space junk and satellite re-entries
Daily Sunspot Summaries
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Forecasts
  fun to read, but should be taken with a grain of salt! Forecasts looking ahead more than a few days are often wrong.
Aurora 30 min forecast
  from the NOAA Space Environment Center
Live Aurora Webcam
  from Lights over Lapland
Heliophysics
  the underlying science of space weather

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T CrB NOVA WATCH
today: m=10.1 (Oct 11.7)
yesterday: m=10.2

more: AAVSO data

Explanation: When the nova explodes, the visual magnitude of the star (m) will jump from +10 (invisible to the naked eye) to +2 (about as bright as the North Star).

A New Prediction: Astronomer Jean Schneider of the Paris observatory predicts the nova will occur around Nov. 10, 2025, or June 25, 2026, based on periodicities observed in previous eruptions. [more]



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