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= Storm Prediction Center Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jul 12, 2025
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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Jul 12, 2025
Updated: Sat Jul 12 22:03:03 UTC 2025  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: On February 23, 2021 the Probabilistic Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks became operational. Please see the Service Change Notice 20-115 for more details.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA  Tribal

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Mon, Jul 14, 2025 - Tue, Jul 15, 2025 D6Thu, Jul 17, 2025 - Fri, Jul 18, 2025
D4Tue, Jul 15, 2025 - Wed, Jul 16, 2025 D7Fri, Jul 18, 2025 - Sat, Jul 19, 2025
D5Wed, Jul 16, 2025 - Thu, Jul 17, 2025 D8Sat, Jul 19, 2025 - Sun, Jul 20, 2025
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 122159

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0459 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

   Valid 141200Z - 201200Z

   ...Days 3-5/Monday-Wednesday...
   A mid-level trough descending southeastward from British Columbia
   will bring increasing fire weather concerns to portions of the
   Northwestern U.S. and Great Basin early next week. Accelerating
   winds ahead a strong cold front, low daytime relative humidity and
   dry fuels will increase wildfire spread potential across the
   Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain on Day 3/Monday, with overall
   fire weather threat shifting into the Great Basin by Day 4/Tuesday.
   The resulting back door cold front and north-northeast pressure
   gradient could also bring a period of weak offshore flow to the
   coastal ranges of OR Day 4-5/Tuesday-Wednesday, but some lingering
   model uncertainty in wind magnitude precludes introduction of
   critical probabilities at this time. Farther east, wetting rains and
   cooler temperatures associated with the trough and cold front should
   mitigate fire weather concerns across much of Montana Day 4/Tuesday.


   ...Day 6-8/Thursday-Saturday...
   A mid-level low near Baja California along with a general rebuilding
   of the ridge across the Western U.S. could aid in ushering in deeper
   monsoon moisture into portions of the Southwest and Great Basin for
   the latter portion of the week. Considerable ensemble spread in
   moisture plume evolution limits confidence in isolating dry
   thunderstorm threat for now.

   ..Williams.. 07/12/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: July 12, 2025
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