NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

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= NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

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A Moderate Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Scattered to numerous severe thunderstorms are expected today and tonight from the southern Plains to the southern Great Lakes vicinity. All severe hazards are likely, including the risk for multiple strong to intense tornadoes, damaging winds, and very large hail.

For additional details, see the current Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO).

SPC Products Overview

Hazard	Tue (03/10)	Wed (03/11)	Thu (03/12)	Fri (03/13)	Sat (03/14)	Sun (03/15)	Mon (03/16)	Tue (03/17)
Severe	Moderate	Slight	No Severe	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Elevated	Elevated	No Area	Critical	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

All Products

Watches

MDs

Outlooks

Fire

Severe Weather Climatology (1994-2024)

Any Severe Probabilities: 10 Mar

Sig Severe Probabilities: 10 Mar

Tornado Probabilities: 10 Mar

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 10 Mar

Severe Hail Probabilities: 10 Mar

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 10 Mar

Significant Wind Probabilities: 10 Mar

Significant Hail Probabilities: 10 Mar

More climatology data here.

Today's Storm Report Trend


report time

Full-size plot here.

Did You Know?

What's My Risk?

La tormenta factor de riesgo.

What's a Watch?

How's a Forecast Made?

Tornado Safety Tips

#TornadoStrong: A Partnership with FLASH

Forecast Tools

HREF

SREF

Mesoanalysis

Observed Soundings

Tornado Environment Browser

Upper-Air Maps

2026 Watch Summaries

Wildfire Climatology (1992-2020)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 10 Mar

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 10 Mar

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 10 Mar

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 10 Mar

More climatology data here.

Latest SPC Publications

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, A. Bostrom, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2025: Leveraging Coproduction to Bridge Research and Operations in Operational Meteorology. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [6601K PDF]
Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, A. Bostrom, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2025: An Assessment of How Domain Experts Evaluate Machine Learning in Operational Meteorology. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [16916K PDF]
Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2025: On a Modified Definition of a Derecho. Part II: An Updated Spatial Climatology of Derechos across the Contiguous United States. Published in Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.. [3250K PDF]
Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2025: On a Modified Definition of a Derecho. Part I: Construction of the Definition and Quantitative Criteria for Identifying Future Derechos over the Contiguous United States. Published in Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.. [5585K PDF]
Moore, A., 2024: Investigating the Near-Surface Wind Fields of Downbursts Using a Series of High-Resolution Idealized Simulations. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [6768K PDF]
Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2024: Right-Moving Supercell Tornadogenesis during Interaction with a Left-Moving Supercell's Rear-Flank Outflow. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [15153K PDF] (supplemental radar loop, standard enhancements [27170K MP4]), (supplemental radar loop, colorblind enhancements [33950K MP4])
Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: A Historical Overview on the Science of Derechos. Part II: Parent Storm Structure, Environmental Conditions, and History of Numerical Forecasts. Published in Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.. [10595K PDF]
Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: A Historical Overview on the Science of Derechos. Part I: Identification, Climatology, and Societal Impacts. Published in Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.. [6899K PDF]
Thompson, R.L., 2023: A Comparison of Right-Moving Supercell and Quasi-Linear Convective System Tornadoes in the Contiguous United States 2003-21. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [4539K PDF]
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

Mar 09, 2026	Tornado: 0	Wind: 35	Hail: 11

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