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Atlantic Remnants of Jerry Discussion Number 18
WTNT45 KNHC 112033 TCDAT5
Remnants Of Jerry Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102025 500 PM AST Sat Oct 11 2025
A combination of scatterometer data, GOES-East derived motion winds, and a recent GPM microwave pass seems to confirm that Jerry does not have a well-defined center and has degenerated into a trough with deep convection located at the southeastern end of the axis. As a result, this will be the last NHC advisory on this system. Maximum winds are estimated to be 40 kt based on ASCAT data from this morning.
The rough motion estimate is northward, or 360/14 kt. The remnant trough is expected to move northward and then northeastward, with the European, Canadian, and UKMET models showing it merging with a frontal boundary to its north in 24-36 hours. Gale-force winds are likely to continue to the east and north of the trough until it merges with the front. The GFS continues to keep the remnants as a distinct feature, but given that its initial position of the remnants is too far to the southeast, it is still considered an outlier solution.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
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