Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 711
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and Central Louisiana
East and Southeast Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
800 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop and
intensify this afternoon into the evening. A few of the stronger
storms will evolve into supercells and pose a risk for a couple of
tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles north of Natchitoches LA to 90
miles southwest of Fort Polk LA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 22035.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 711 TORNADO LA TX 182055Z - 190200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45N IER/NATCHITOCHES LA/ - 90SW POE/FORT POLK LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /43ESE EIC - 58E IAH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
LAT...LON 32399207 30129324 30129525 32399413
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 711 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 711
VALID 190040Z - 190140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW BPT
TO 45 NNE IER.
..SPC..11/19/24
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC011-013-043-049-069-079-085-115-127-190140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE GRANT
JACKSON NATCHITOCHES RAPIDES
SABINE VERNON WINN
$$
TXC241-351-190140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JASPER NEWTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 711
VALID 182235Z - 182340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE HOU
TO 5 NE SHV.
..LYONS..11/18/24
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC011-013-031-043-049-069-079-081-085-115-127-182340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE DE SOTO
GRANT JACKSON NATCHITOCHES
RAPIDES RED RIVER SABINE
VERNON WINN
$$
TXC199-241-291-351-403-405-419-457-182340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER LIBERTY
NEWTON SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SHELBY TYLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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