Content-Length: 450268 | pFad | http://www.weather.gov/rlx/briefing#outlook
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| Strong to severe thunderstorms possible this weekend |
| Another very mild day is in store today, but with light winds compared with yesterday. A nearly stationary frontal boundary may be able to provide just enough low level moisture for an isolated shower or thunderstorm this afternoon in areas along the Metro Valley and south, but most remain dry through the day. There is a much better chance for showers and thunderstorms, along with gusty winds outside thunderstorms as well, this weekend, as a strong low pressure system tracks up through the Great Lakes. Strong, heavy thunderstorms are possible Saturday afternoon and evening, and a widespread soaking rain could develop over the middle Ohio Valley Saturday night. High pressure of Pacific origen will provide dry, seasonably cool weather behind the cold front to start the new work week. The next system may arrive during the middle to latter part of the work week. Get additional details in our Area Forecast Discussion... |
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Latest Emergency Manager's Briefing (pdf) This briefing is updated each Monday and Friday, and more frequently during hazardous weather events. |
Weather Hazards Outlook
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7 Day Total Hazards
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093 FLUS41 KRLX 120850 HWORLX Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Charleston WV 450 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011- 013>020-024>034-039-040-515>526-130900- Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington- Jackson OH-Vinton-Meigs-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Dickenson-Buchanan-Wayne- Cabell-Mason-Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha- Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Mingo-Logan-Boone-Clay-Braxton- Gilmer-Lewis-Harrison-Taylor-McDowell-Wyoming-Upshur-Barbour- Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-Northwest Fayette- Southeast Fayette-Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas- Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas- Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph- 450 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Kentucky, southeast Ohio, southwest Virginia and much of West Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Very warm and dry conditions combined with gusty winds will result in an increased risk for wildfire spread this afternoon and evening. Please heed all fire season burn laws. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Very warm and dry afternoons and evenings are expected again Thursday and Friday. While light winds may limit the risk for wildfire spread Thursday afternoon and evening, gusty winds could elevate the threat again on Friday. The gusty winds will increase further Friday night and Saturday, with wind gusts above 40 mph Saturday into Sunday, at least in the mountains. Strong to severe thunderstorms are also possible Saturday afternoon and/or evening. In addition, heavy rainfall is possible later Saturday into Sunday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ JP/TRM |
| Days 1-3 Total Rain, Snow & Ice |
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| Days 1-8 Severe Weather Outlooks |
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| Days 1-3 Excessive Rainfall Outlooks |
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| Days 1-3 Maximum Non-TS Wind Gusts |
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Observed Weather Briefing
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 Regional Radar Loop |
 NWS Charleston, WV Radar Loop |
 Jackson, KY |
 Wilmington, OH |
 Pittsburgh, PA |
 Sterling, VA |
 Blacksburg, VA |
 Morristown, TN |
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| Virginia | Virginia | COOPs | Snowfall |
Rainfall and Flood Threat Briefing
| How Much Rain Has Fallen? (Interactive) | |
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| Flash Flood Guidance |
Flash Flood Guidance (FFG) provides a general indication of the amount of rainfall evenly distributed over various durations (in hours), necessary to cause small streams to overflow their natural banks. During heavy rainfall, accurate interpretation of the guidance consists of the combination of rainfall that has already occurred plus any additional rainfall that can be confidently expected to fall over the same location in the immediate future.
It should be noted that FFG values represent estimates of average soil moisture and stream flow conditions. Flooding may occur with less rainfall than indicated in areas of high rainfall intensities, impervious surfaces, or steep slopes.
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| Precipitation Forecasts | |||
| Today's Precip Forecast | Tomorrow's Precip Forecast | Day 3 Precip Forecast | Day 1 - 3 Total Precip Forecast |
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| 0 to 6 hours | 6 to 12 hours | 12 to 18 hours | 18 to 24 hours | 24 to 30 hours | 30 to 36 hours | |
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| Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook | Day 2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook | Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Outlook | Ohio River Basin Flood Outlook |
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| Day 1 Precipitation | Day 2 Precipitation | Day 3 Precipitation |
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| Day 4-5 Precipitation | Day 6-7 Precipitation | 7-Day Total Precipitation |
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Hydrographs (showing stages and flows over time) are available through the National Water Prediction Service (NWPS) by clicking site names.
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Thunderstorm Threat Briefing
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| Days 4-7 Thunderstorm Outlooks | |||
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Current Watches |
Storm Trend Discussions |
Today's Storm Reports |
Yesterday's Storm Reports |
| SPC Day 1 Thunderstorm Outlook | SPC Day 1 Tornado Outlook | SPC Day 1 Severe Wind Outlook | SPC Day 1 Severe Hail Outlook |
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| SPC Day 1 Thunderstorm Outlook Discussion | |||
| SPC Day 2 Thunderstorm Outlook | SPC Day 2 Tornado Outlook | SPC Day 2 Severe Wind Outlook | SPC Day 2 Severe Hail Outlook |
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| SPC Day 2 Thunderstorm Outlook Discussion | |||
| SPC Day 3 Thunderstorm Outlook | SPC Day 4-8 Thunderstorm Outlook |
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| SPC Day 3 Outlook Narrative | SPC Day 4-8 Outlook Narrative |
Winter Weather Threat Briefing
| 72 Hour Snowfall Forecast | 72 Hour Ice Accumulation Forecast | Winter Storm Severity Index | |
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| Day 1 Snowfall Forecast | Day 2 Snowfall Forecast | Day 3 Snowfall Forecast |
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| 30 Hour Forecast Snow Amounts (6 Hour Periods) | ||||||
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| Day 1 Ice Accumulation Forecast | Day 2 Ice Accumulation Forecast | Day 3 Ice Accumulation Forecast |
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| 30 Hour Forecast Ice Accumulation (6 Hour Periods) | ||||||
| 0 to 6 Hours | 6 to 12 Hours | 12 to 18 Hours | 18 to 24 Hours | 24 to 30 Hours | 30 to 36 Hours | |
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| Day 1 Snowfall Greater Than 4" | Day 2 Snowfall Greater Than 4" | Day 3 Snowfall Greater Than 4" |
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| Day 1 Freezing Rain Greater than 1/4" | Day 2 Freezing Rain Greater than 1/4" | Day 3 Freezing Rain Greater than 1/4" |
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| Day 4 Experimental Winter Weather Outlook | Day 5 Experimental Winter Weather Outlook | Day 6 Experimental Winter Weather Outlook | Day 7 Experimental Winter Weather Outlook |
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Wind Threat Briefing
| Day 1 Wind Risk | Day 2 Wind Risk | Day 3 Wind Risk |
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| Day 1 Max Wind Gusts | Day 2 Max Wind Gusts | Day 3 Max Wind Gusts |
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| 3 Hourly Wind Speed & Direction Forecasts |
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| 3 Hourly Wind Gusts |
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Heat Threat Briefing
| Day 1 Excessive Heat Risk | Day 2 Excessive Heat Risk | Day 3 Excessive Heat Risk |
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| Day 1 Max Temp | Day 2 Max Temp | Day 3 Max Temp |
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| Day 1 Min Temp | Day 2 Min Temp | Day 3 Min Temp |
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| Day 1 Max Heat Index | Day 2 Max Heat Index | Day 3 Max Heat Index |
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| Day 1 Max WBGT | Day 2 Max WBGT | Day 3 Max WBGT |
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| 3 Hourly Apparent Temperature |
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Cold Threat Briefing
| Day 1 Excessive Cold Risk | Day 2 Excessive Cold Risk | Day 3 Excessive Cold Risk |
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| Day 1 Max Temp | Day 2 Max Temp | Day 3 Max Temp |
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| Day 1 Min Temp | Day 2 Min Temp | Day 3 Min Temp |
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| Day 1 Min Wind Chill | Day 2 Min Wind Chill | Day 3 Min Wind Chill |
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| Night 1 Min Wind Chill | Night 2 Min Wind Chill |
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| 3 Hourly Apparent Temperature |
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Drought and Fire Weather Threat Briefing
| Today's Minimum Humidity | Tomorrow's Minimum Humidity |
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| Today/Tonight Max Wind Gusts | Tomorrow/Tomorrow Night Max Wind Gusts |
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WFAS Observed Fire Danger Rating |
WFAS Forecast Fire Danger Rating |
| SPC Fire Weather Day 1 Outlook | SPC Fire Weather Day 2 Outlook | SPC Fire Weather Day 3-8 Outlook |
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| Seasonal Drought Outlook | NICC Significant Fire Potential Outlook |
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Long Range Outlook Briefing
| Days 3-7 Hazards Outlook (WPC) |
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| Days 8-14 Hazards Outlook (CPC) | Days 8-14 Risk of Hazardous Temperatures (CPC) | Days 8-14 Risk of Heavy Precipitation (CPC) |
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| 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook (CPC) | 6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook (CPC) |
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| 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook (CPC) | 8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook (CPC) |
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| **Experimental** Week 3-4 Temperature Outlook (CPC) | **Experimental** Week 3-4 Precipitation Outlook (CPC) |
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| One Month Temperature Outlook (CPC) | One Month Precipitation Outlook (CPC) |
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| Three Month Temperature Outlook (CPC) | Three Month Precipitation Outlook (CPC) |
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